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a Division of
Cardiovascular Medicine, University Hospital, Nottingham NG7 2UH, UK, b British Heart Foundation
Cardiovascular Statistics Unit, University of Nottingham, Nottingham,
UK
Correspondence to: Dr Brown.
Accepted for publication 29 January 1999
OBJECTIVE
To assess
the medium to long term outcome of patients ineligible for thrombolysis
compared to those enrolled in a clinical trial of thrombolysis and
patients receiving non-trial thrombolysis.
DESIGN
Cohort study
based on the Nottingham heart attack register.
SETTING
Two district
general hospitals serving a defined urban/rural population.
SUBJECTS
All patients
admitted with a confirmed acute myocardial infarction during 1992 categorised as either participants of a thrombolytic trial (group A, n = 140), receiving non-trial thrombolysis (group B, n = 329), or deemed
ineligible for lytic treatment (group C, n = 431).
MAIN OUTCOME
MEASURES
Background characteristics, inhospital
treatment, patterns of follow up, referrals to cardiologists,
revascularisation rates, and short and long term survival.
RESULTS
Clinical trial
recruits were younger by almost 10 years, were less likely to have a
previous history of myocardial infarction, and more likely to be in
Killip class 1 on admission than those ineligible for thrombolysis.
Cardiology follow up was mandatory for all surviving trial participants
but 22% of patients in group B and 31% of patients in group C
received no follow up, and during four years less than 50% ever saw a
cardiologist. Revascularisation was performed in 17.2% of patients in
group A, 13.6% of patients in group B, and 7.5% of patients in group
C. Cumulative mortality at a median of four years was 24.3% in group
A, 36.8% in B, and 59.6% in group C. Adjusting for age, sex, previous
myocardial infarction, type of infarction, and Killip class in a
logistic regression model the odds ratios (OR) of death at four years
for groups B and C were 1.60 (95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.97 to 2.63, p = 0.065) and 2.64 (95% CI 1.61 to 4.32, p < 0.001),
respectively, when compared to group A (OR 1).
CONCLUSIONS
Patients
enrolled into thrombolytic trials are at low risk. Patients deemed
ineligible for thrombolysis are high risk, receive less surveillance,
are less likely to be revascularised or receive trial proven
treatments, have a poor long term outcome not entirely explained by
increased age or severity of infarction, and deserve further evaluation.
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